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Thursday, November 21, 2024

Weekend reading: Trading places – Monevator

What caught my eye this week.

I belatedly enjoyed Dumb Money on Netflix this week. Finumus put me onto it as a chaser to the story in my Active Antics links below about the Canadian who made and lost $300m trading Tesla options.

Dumb Money is hilarious (whereas that second story is almost tragic) but it’s also a solid piece of filmmaking.

The movie deftly captures the time and (all over the) place when Reddit GameStop trading was at its height. From Covid in the backdrop and mask-wearing on the metro to how it transmutes Pied Piper and YouTuber Roaring Kitty’s riffing into the void into almost a communal event – like some virtual version of Woodstock for Gen-Z – you can imagine it being watched in future decades as a historical drama.

For a darker follow-up to this follow-up, also read of Freddie deBoer, who this week offered a cold take on why the meme trading phenomenon still comes with cult-like language from its adherents:

Quite literally, everyone who bought into GameStop can’t make money off of doing so because somebody’s got to be late to the selloff.

Which is why this whole thing is such a particularly sad expression of aspirational capitalism; the meme stock people celebrate their own jocular spirit of togetherness, but fundamentally all of them are looking, someday, to fuck the people who wait too long.

For my part, I said sell very near the height on 28 January 2021. But of course I only had a couple of shares on Freetrade and I’d never have made the stacks racked up by the early diamond hands.

Then again neither would most of those who followed Roaring Kitty and the gang. Dumb Money is a great story but it’s not a guide to investing that anyone should follow – except maybe with some fun (dumb) money.

Indeed hundreds of millions of ordinary people got richer in that period just by holding the index.

As for once in a generation events, joining thousands of spaced-out hippies in a farm would probably be more profitable than playing pass-the-parcel with Reddit’s most degenerate gamblers.

Have a great weekend.

From Monevator

Rightmove. Wrong price [Members] – Monevator

How to buy index-linked gilts – Monevator

From the archive-ator: Investing for beginners: all about assets – Monevator

News

Note: Some links are Google search results – in PC/desktop view click through to read the article. Try privacy/incognito mode to avoid cookies. Consider subscribing to sites you visit a lot.

Rachel Reeves reportedly considering capital gains tax at 39%… – Guardian

…but rules out ‘exit tax’ for wealthy people leaving UK… [Search result] – FT

…while IFS paper says CGT needs to be reformed not raised – Institute for Fiscal Studies

Platforms object to [proposed] investment trusts’ ‘zero’ charges as ‘materially misleading’ – AIC

Landlords and second-home owners rush to sell up ahead of tax and energy changes – Which

House prices close to record high, says Halifax – BBC

Retail sales grow at strongest pace for six months… – Morningstar

…after the UK economy returned to growth in August – BBC

UK indie film industry gets a new tax break – UK Gov

Annual deaths outnumber births in Britain for first time in 50 years – BBC

Are you rich enough to be hit in the Budget? New data from Hargreaves Lansdown – GB News

Weekend reading: Trading places – Monevator

A little money perspective – A Wealth of Common Sense

Products and services

High swap rates could herald mortgage rates rising again – This Is Money

Schroders proposes ‘Lifetime Savings Initiative’ to help poorer people save – Schroders

Open an account with low-cost platform InvestEngine via our link and get up to £50 when you invest at least £100 (T&Cs apply. Capital at risk) – InvestEngine

How to beat the Disney+ price hikes – Be Clever With Your Cash

Where next for two million savings accounts maturing by end of 2024? – Which

Get £100-£2,000 cashback when you open a SIPP with Interactive Investor (T&Cs apply. Capital at risk) – Interactive Investor

The five rarest 50p coins in circulation, led by Atlantic Salmon special – Royal Mint

Pikachu Pokémon card set to sell for £250,000 at auction – This Is Money

Homes for sale on High Streets in Britain, in pictures – Guardian

Comment and opinion

Do Vanguard, BlackRock, and State Street run the world? – Of Dollars and Data

How rising care costs can wreck your retirement finances [Search result] – FT

The ultra-rich are building a separate world here on Earth [Podcast] – Odd Lots

Boomers’ money secrets are a ticking time bomb for their kids – Sherwood

20 rules for markets and investing – Charlie Bilello

14 ways to improve your credit score – Be Clever With Your Cash

The noise factory – Behavioural Investment

How to diversify your pension pot [Podcast, cheers for the Monevator mention] – Merryn Talks Money via Apple

Nerdy factor research mini-special

Do expectations errors explain factor returns? – Verdad

Trawling ancient market history for factor evidence – CFA Institute

Naughty corner: Active antics

Thoughts on running multi-baggers – Maynard Paton

Return on mental capital – Flyover Stocks

How a Canadian carpenter became an options trader, made $300m, then went bust – Sherwood

Do US election prediction markets offer an arb opportunity? – Sherwood

Yeah the US market is very expensive mini-special

High valuations are about time horizons… – Cullen Roche

…still, Jeremy Grantham sees US stocks in bubble territory – Morningstar

Kindle book bargains

Failed State: Why Nothing Works and How to Fix It by Sam Freedman – £0.99 on Kindle

Technofeudalism: What Killed Capitalism by Yanis Varoufakis – £0.99 on Kindle

Bad Blood: Elizabeth Holmes and the Theranos Scandal by John Carreyrou – £0.99 on Kindle

Casino: The Rise and Fall of the Mob in Las Vegas by Nicholas Pileggi – £0.99 on Kindle

Environmental factors

Looking after L.A.’s favourite fake beaches – BBC

Insurer warns 7,116 new UK homes are being built on flood plains – This Is Money

America is lying to itself about the cost of disasters – The Atlantic

What range anxiety? One UK Tesla has clocked up 700,000 miles – This Is Money

Robot relationships mini-special

When your lover is a bot – The Walrus

The perfect girlfriend – Esquire

A.I. overlord roundup

Google DeepMind scientists share the Nobel prize for chemistry – Guardian

The rise of AI-powered job application bots – 404 Media

A data-driven case that A.I. has already changed the US jobs market – Forked Lightning

OpenAI talent exodus gives rivals an opening – Wired

Off our beat

Just 0.1% of Internet users are responsible for 80% of fake news – Sherwood

Metric-less success – More to That

Where have all the Chief Metaverse Officers gone? – Wired

How rich are Arab rulers? [Search result] – FT

The mystery of the dead billionaire – Sherwood

American’s disorder problem [US but UK feels similar to me right now…] – The Casual Fallacy [h/t Abnormal Returns]

[…] The unstoppable rise of mobile phone theft – Guardian

And finally…

“Life is very long unless it is not.”
– Gabrielle Zeven, Tomorrow and Tomorrow and Tomorrow

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